Understanding Brexit. A blessing or Curse?
Feuilletons 7 February 2017 Krzysztof Sadecki
Brexit – A political assassination?
To understand Brexit it has to be put into context. Firstly, there was a huge backlash against the European Parliament and it’s Legislators which was perceived to be compromising the UK Parliament’s ability to legislate for Britain. Secondly, the influx of Eastern Europeans led to a feeling that we had lost control of our borders while at the same time increasing numbers of asylum seekers from the Middle East and the sub continent also wanted to make the UK their final destination. Thirdly the rise of UKIP who increased their 5% poll in 2010 to 15% in 2015 made many Conservative MPs nervous for their seats in the future which created a significant anti Europe faction in Parliament.
Winners and losers. So who wins and who loses? The UK has at a stroke removed itself from a market of around 500 million consumers and the British Pound has fallen to its lowest level for thirty years, with some commentators suggesting it may even hit parity with the Dollar. So, in the short term UK definitely appears to be a loser. However a devalued Pound makes exports cheaper so manufacturers whose main income from exports will be winners.
■ What about EU UK residents? At present it appears the status quo will stand so they will be able to remain, so winners.
■ Will there be as some predict, a domino affect in Europe, unlikely, so winner.
■ Will Europe survive without UK? Almost certainly, so winners.
There are still many issues to be resolved in a post EU Britain and many questions and issues remain to be resolved. Watch this space “A historical moment”, “A victory”, “ A disaster”, “Mass suicide on a scale never see before” area few of the many comments aired as the world, not only Europe, were gripped following this groundbreaking movement but before understanding the Brexit fall-out one must ask the real question: “What was Brexit?”
Scholars will debate for decades to come this highly controversial subject for is far from clear from Day 1 what Brexit is or was. To the un-educated bystander, like most who vted in the referendum, it was the UK trying to break free from theur long standing union with Europe established in XXXX however was it really so simple? “Where did Brexit’s origins begin?,” “Who stood to gain the most from a successful ‘leave’ campaign?,” “Why was there such a lack of concrete information available for voters to vote upon?,” We believe the answer maybe more simple and more self-serving for the politicians involved.
Theory One: Brexit was a master-stroke political manouver to remove David Cameron from his role as UK Prime Minister by his own party… Think about it. All but Teresa May, most likely the next UK Prime Minister, voted Brexit – and she voted Remain albeit in a very subdued manner – knowing a ‘win’ would force Cameron to abdicate his political throne and ensure a political upheaval never seen since King George abdicated in the name of love. Think about it.
Theory Two: Brexit as a brilliant business manouvre by powerful British media magnates to remove the Conservative government from power? By stirring nationalism to the point of ridiculous via media savvy scare tactics convincing the average Brit that immigrants were to blame for all our problems and re-Britifying ourselves is the only answer and leaving the UE would give us tighter control of our borders. After the ramifications of the ‘leave’ vote hits home millions will turn on the government for their less than pleasant, all-new I’m British predicament they will find themselves in. No-one likes good news. Bad news and scandal sell newspapers and media. Think about it.
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